Kevin Kersten
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With a total statutory debt limit of $12.1 trillion ($12,100,000,000,000) and the U.S. population at 304 million (304,000,000), the debt per American is $39,800.

Pigs at the Minnesota state fair have tested positive for the H1N1 "swine" flu virus in preliminary tests.

Confirmation tests are pending, but this could be bad news and cause panic within the pork industry. Pork belly futures and companies like Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD), Tyson (NYSE: TSN), and Hormel (NYSE: HRL) are a few that could be affected.

There is a bill making rounds on Capitol Hill that would provide a tax break for up to $3,500 for pet expenses. Does Fido really deserve a tax deduction? Do we really need to subsidize pet ownership in this country?

The recession has been extra hard on pets as people have abandoned pets at shelters they are no longer able to properly care for them. Pet can be very expensive between food, visits to the vet and increased rent. Those of you who think dog food is expensive should try to feed a horse sometime!

President Obama started an intense debate in recent months about national health care. People are concerned about how to pay for the high cost of health care in America and feel it is just too expensive. There has to be a better way!

I like oranges and I grew up in Wisconsin, but in January oranges do not grow very well in Wisconsin. I don't know why -- I am not a horticulturalist -- but maybe it's the lack of sunlight, hard frozen tundra, blowing snow or temperatures of 25 below zero. We could spend a long time pointlessly debating the actual reason.

It has been about a year since Lehman Brothers failed and this financial crisis started, and it has hit many of the banks hard including Bank of American (NYSE: BAC), Citigroup (NYSE: C) and America International Group (NYSE: AIG).

There has been one thing that has been bugged me in the coverage of it since then. Frequently, reporters use words like unprecedented or unparalleled to describe it. That is false! Financial crises, panics, crashes, bubbles, and bank failures are really about a dime a dozen.

The Obama administration has announced that it is imposing tariffs on Chinese tire imports. The three-year plan will be have 35% tariffs the first year, 30% tariffs the second year, and 25% tariffs the third year.

This is good news for U.S. tire manufacturers and bad news for Chinese tire makers. American consumers will pay more for tires over the next three years than they would if they could buy cheap Chinese tires, but it will be a benefit for U.S. big labor and domestic tire makers as their products will be more competitive.

Given the recent controversy over Obama's address to school children Tuesday, I was interested to see the speech released on the White House web site. While not all schools will be showing the speech, it is still likely to have a huge audience of many students across the nation. I looked to see which companies might benefit from this exposure.

Overall, Obama encourages kids to study hard, be responsible and overcome the many obstacles they face, while relating his own difficulties from school.

Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) gets a positive mention as an example of the kind of company to strive to build.

The iPhone also makes it into the speech, to the benefit of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL).

J. K. Rowling -- author of the Harry Potter series -- gets included, a plus for her publisher, Scholastic Corp. (NASDAQ: SCHL), and Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), which has released the movies based on the books.

With Barack Obama's stimulus plan working through Congress, there is a lot of negotiating going on. The plan that passed the House of Representatives cost $819 billion dollars. Millions, billions, and trillions: all these numbers can start to lose meaning.

As much as we would all like a free lunch, we know that there is no free lunch and ultimately you the taxpayer are going to have to pay for this. Let's estimate some number on this a few different ways:

$819 billion dollars for the House version.
303 million people in the US
That costs $2,700 for each man, woman and child

Market fear has been running rampant recently and with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping hundreds of points daily, it is easy to understand why. The CBOE Volatility Index know as the VIX has hit all time high levels that have exceed all previous readings since they started the index back in 1990.

Today the VIX hit 70.90; a month ago it closed at 24.52 ---an average level for the year. That is a 189% rise in the last month! In 2007 it averaged 17.3.

Before the current crisis the highest reading for the VIX was 45.74 recorded on 10/8/98. That means we have surpassed the previous high by 55%.

The VIX is based on call option premium scared investors are willing to pay for protection on their stocks.

Kevin Kersten is an Stock and Options Analyst with InvestorsObserver.com. Disclosure note: Mr. Kersten owns and/or controls a diversified portfolio of long and short positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.

Newt Gingrich has gone on the record with a solution to the crisis that is the best I have seen so far. Rather than pass a $700 billion bailout, suspend the accounting rules that are causing the liquidity crisis to begin with.

In the past few years, accounting rules changed and these changes are in part causing the current crisis. Specifically, the problem is mark-to-market accounting where all assets are required to be valued at current market prices. If the market is temporarily depressed, it can cause an artificial crisis.

Let me give a silly but simple illustration. If you have 20 one dollar bills in your wallet, we would all agree you have a net worth of $20. Thirsty Bob also has one dollar bill in his wallet and walks into the break room and wants to buy a Coke. Soda in the machine costs 50 cents, but it only takes quarters. Thirsty Bob asks if anyone has change and they all say no. Sam says he has only two quarters and will trade Thirsty Bob -- who is really thirsty -- two quarters for a dollar. Thirsty Bob quickly agrees to take Sam up one his offer in order to get the Coke now. Bob knows that two quarters for a dollar is a bad deal, but he is takes the deal anyway.

There is a bit of trepidation as I sit here at my screen, watching the S&P 500 drop more than 3%, reading about yet another bank "buyout," and especially after skimming through Congress's just-released 110 page $700 billion Emergency Economic Stabilization Act -- Wall Street bailout plan.

Apparently, no on likes it. The bright point of the plan is the two inch margins and the double spacing that make it readable.

As an economist, I am very concerned about the long term consequences of the plan, whether it will train the markets to expect government intervention. Also, the sheer cost is very high -- about $4,600 per working person -- unless, of course, the government is able to make money with it.

Is this just the fore shocks and tremors before the financial earthquake? With all these banks failing, things could get very messy. Is this market setting up for a crash?

Bernanke warned that a recession might come if the bailout plan did not pass. And as much as I like the idea of the government bailout of Wall Street -- I hate government interference in the free markets, and bailouts can encourage more bad behaviour. It is hard to get a good understanding of the cost of this Wall Street bailout plan. But I ran some numbers that I thought were interesting.

• $700 billion cost of proposed plan
• 305 million estimated number of Americans
• $2,295 estimated cost per American
• 151 million estimated workforce (excludes retirees, kids, etc.)
• $4,635 per working American
• $13.8 trillion estimated US gross domestic product
• 5.1% cost of bailout plan in one year's domestic product
• 13 days each American has to work to pay off bailout plan (5% of a year)

Considering we could be looking at a recession, and the economy normally grows 3% a year, this does not look so bad. A $700 billion dollar bailout would be equivalent to a one-year recession with a negative 2% growth rate. These calculations are a rough estimate of the impact of such a plan and gives one food for thought as to which is worse. So which would you prefer, a recession or a bailout?

Kevin Kersten is an Stock and Options Analyst with InvestorsObserver.com. Disclosure note: Mr. Kersten owns and/or controls a diversified portfolio of long and short positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about.

Stock options give investors a great tool to control risks or speculate on stocks. Call options give investors the right to buy the stock and are typically considered a bullish tool, while puts give investors the right to sell the stock and are typically considered a bearish bet on the future price movement of the stocks. I was interested in seeing what equities have the highest open interest or most outstanding options issued on them looking at all strikes and all months (excluding ETFs).

The top six stocks with most options issued are:

Citigroup (NYSE: C) has an open interest of 5,366,521 options, 2,751,255 are calls and 2,615,266 are puts. The stock has been trending down with the rest of the financials for the last year. Speculation now appears equal with about the same number of calls and puts traded.

Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) has an open interest of 5,204,313 options; 2,575,909 are calls and 2,628,404 are puts. Like Citigroup, this stock has seen its price cut in half over the last year.

General Electric (NYSE: GE) has an open interest of 3,877,635 options; 2,138,926 are calls and 1,738,709 are puts. With 23% more calls than puts outstanding, speculators look slightly bullish on GE.